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Mortgage Hikes and Effect on House Sales

Mortgage Hikes and Effect on House Sales

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Last week, we talked about interest rates spiraling over 4%.  KCM Blog posted a great follow up on the topic which I’m sharing with you below.  A rule of thumb in real estate is that for every 1% increase in rates, there’s a 10% decrease in affordability.  If you are looking to buy a home in Pasadena or anywhere in the Greater Los Angeles area, increases in rates are something to worry about.  Timing in not our friend.  See what the experts say below.

When mortgage interest rates begin to climb, experts immediately begin to discuss home affordability indexes. They calculate how an increase in rates will slow home purchases as more and more potential buyers are priced out of the market. Today, with home prices also increasing, many believe that home sales may slow down rather dramatically. This may prove to be true in the long term. However, in the short term, increasing mortgage rates may have the opposite effect. Many buyers who have been sitting on the fence may realize that delaying their purchase no longer makes sense. Last week, in a CNBC article, Matt Weaver of Florida-based PMAC Lending explained the impact an increase in rates will have:

“These increases really help the home-buying market. It really gets buyers to really understand that ‘wait a minute, rates are at an all-time low, let’s react now, let’s react before they go higher’.”

As an example, we can look to 2013 when interest rates spiked up by a full percentage point over a two month period. The result is that many buyers rushed to the market on the fear that rates would continue to climb. It didn’t necessarily increase the number of sales that year dramatically. However, it did seem to move some sales up in the year as evidenced by the chart below: 

impact of mortgage rates spike

We can see that the sales cycle did not follow a more normal cycle (2014) with more sales being pushed into July and August and slightly less sales in September and August.

Bottom Line

If you are waiting to put your house on the market, think twice. Now may be the perfect time to sell as buyer competition will continue to heat up as more purchasers jump into the market. You may also save a pretty penny on the monthly mortgage payment of your next home by selling now before rates shoot up.

If you are thinking of buying your first home or are considering a move up to the house of your family’s dreams, now may be the best time to do it.  Give us a call at 626-629-8439 or set up your complimentary home search andstart browsing for your Pasadena area home today.


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